Two weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean are drawing the attention of the National Hurricane Center, but of most concern is the projected path of a system located in the Caribbean Sea that includes the United States.
According to the hurricane center’s current forecast, the Gulf Coast of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle could be hit by a tropical depression in a few days.
Here’s what the hurricane center has said so far Sunday at 8am,
Rainfall and depression
This system is dumping rain over Nicaragua and the western Caribbean Sea. Even if the system doesn’t develop, this rain could drench parts of Honduras and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula by midweek.
“Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system over the next few days,” the hurricane center said. “A tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.”
Formation probability for next two days: 10%.
Likely to form in next seven days: 70%.
a wave in the atlantic ocean
Near the west coast of Africa, there is a tropical wave moving westward and “could become a tropical depression during mid to late week as the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.”
Probability of formation in the next two days: Almost zero.
Probability of formation in next seven days: 40%.
Chaos goes north
“The low pressure area located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not become better organized since Saturday,” the hurricane center said.
“Despite being located in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical depression cannot be ruled out if the showers and thunderstorms become better organized…”
The system is forecast to move north at 5 to 10 mph.
Likely to form in next two days: 20%.
Likely to form in next seven days: 20%.
